Economy and TradingEnergy Policy

Federal Reserve October Rate Cut Expected as FOMC Weighs Economic Risks

The Federal Open Market Committee is widely expected to cut interest rates on October 29, with market indicators showing a 97% probability. The Fed faces balancing inflation concerns against emerging employment risks amid economic uncertainty.

Federal Reserve interest rate cuts are overwhelmingly anticipated when the Federal Open Market Committee meets on October 29, with market indicators pointing toward the first reduction in over a year. According to the CME FedWatch Tool which projects the chance of a cut at 97% based on fixed income markets, policymakers are likely to lower the federal funds rate below 4% amid growing concerns about economic softening. This anticipated move represents a significant shift in the Fed’s approach as it navigates competing economic pressures.

Market Expectations for October Rate Decision